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Retirement Confidence Edges Up, With Some Optimism

Written by Samalin Wealth | June 11, 2024

After falling in 2023 by the widest margin since the 2008 financial crisis, retirement confidence began to edge back up in early 2024. According to the Employee Benefit Research Institute's 2024 Retirement Confidence Survey, workers who said they are at least somewhat confident in their ability to afford a comfortable retirement rose to 68%, up from 64% in 2023. Retiree confidence also rose slightly to 74%, up from 73%.

Citing the U.S. Census Bureau, the study speculated that one reason for the uptick might be that wage growth is now outpacing inflation. More than a quarter of workers and nearly a third of retirees who are confident said they feel that way due to stable assets and steady income.

In addition, although inflation remains a concern for some, overall economic anxiety seems to be abating.

Economic concerns subsiding

Inflation remains a driving factor for those who lack confidence in achieving a comfortable retirement. Among those who report little or no confidence, 31% of workers and 40% of retirees say inflation is the reason. In addition, about eight out of 10 workers and seven out of 10 retirees say that the increasing cost of living will make it harder for them to save as much as they want.

However, "significantly fewer" workers are worried about inflation remaining high over the next year and about a looming recession. Concerns about inflation dropped by eight percentage points among workers and seven percentage points among retirees. Recession worries dropped by nine percentage points among workers and an impressive 15 percentage points among retirees.

The tables below represent the percentage of workers and retirees who said they were at least somewhat concerned about the event affecting their finances in retirement.

Concerns Among Workers     2023 2024
Increasing cost of living will make it harder for you to save as much money as you want N/A 83%
The U.S. government making significant changes to the American retirement system 80% 79%
Inflation will stay high for at least the next 12 months 86% 78%
Housing costs will rise 76% 72%
The U.S. economy will go into a recession in the next 12 months 80% 71%
You will have to make substantial cuts to your spending because of inflation N/A 70%
The stock market will be increasingly volatile and unpredictable 74% 67%
Concerns Among Retirees 2023 2024
Inflation will stay high for at least the next 12 months     79% 72%
The U.S. government making significant changes to the American retirement system 71% 71%
Increasing cost of living will make it harder for you to save as much money as you want N/A 69%
The stock market will be increasingly volatile and unpredictable 65% 62%
The U.S. economy will go into a recession in the next 12 months 74% 59%
You will have to make substantial cuts to your spending because of inflation N/A 56%
Housing costs will rise 55% 55%

Working for pay and retirement age

As in past years, significant differences exist between worker expectations and retiree realities in terms of anticipated retirement age and whether paid work will supplement retirement income.

While 65% of workers expect to retire at age 65 or older (or never), 70% of retirees left work before the age of 65, with seven in 10 saying the reasons for leaving were "out of their control."

Although three quarters of workers plan to work for pay in retirement, just 30% of retirees reported any sort of work-related income.

Type of Work Workers Retirees
Full time N/A 83%
Part-time 80% 79%
Both full and part-time 86% 78%
Seasonal/sporadic 76% 72%